MaoShanDong

Honestly if they're using embedded assets to do shit like this instead of more productive activities related to nuclear development or real sabotage towards materiel I am far more hopeful that their overall infiltration is not as bad as some are suggesting.

https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1934620239276154998

Iran has asked Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Oman to ask Trump to pressure Israel to agree to an immediate ceasefire, two Iranian and three regional sources told Reuters.

https://x.com/firstsquawk/status/1934611831102095616

OIL FUTURES EXTEND LOSSES, U.S. CRUDE DOWN BY $3 AND BRENT CRUDE DOWN BY $2 A BARREL AS IRAN SEEKS TALKS WITH U.S. AND ISRAEL TO END HOSTILITIES

It would seem like there is an attempt in the western block to create a narrative that the Iranians are attempting to deescalate. This runs counter to other sources I've seen that are more Iranian aligned unless anyone else out here has some decent sources backing up the above claims. My best guess is US is looking for an off ramp since the current violence is causing too much uncontrollable instability for the entity or they're providing cover for the Nimitz and other assets in order to surprise Iran like they did last week. At this point I'm actually pretty optimistic that the turn of events over the weekend were not within US calculations and now they're scrambling to adjust, hopefully with more severe consequences down the line.

This is one of the reason's and biggest contradictions on why the current situation is so risky for Israel and the US. Iran and by extension any opposition in the area does not need to land a decisive blow and literally destroy the entity in its entirely. Instead it just needs to give enough reason for the vast majority of the wealthy elites that provide the base of support to leave. Crippling economic and technological capabilities to the point where the risk adjusted returns of the project isn't worth it is one of the ways this can go.

Even if the ISSraeli government pushes people back to work as you suggest that would likely just exacerbate the issue and convince more settlers to leave. It's a lose lose situation which is why they must either escalate and swiftly destroy the Iranian's or back peddle hard to deescalate the situation. Any sort of in between situation leading to a long drawn out conflict with heightened tensions will lead to the entity slowly bleeding out.

At the very minimum, the deadline for Israel/US in the ME is the acquisition of the bomb by Iran which could be right around the corner meaning a sharp escalation is probable IMO.

Praying that this is the US's Afghanistan

Once again providing ample evidence on why hating on the fr*nch is a moral imperative.

Tomorrow, in an urgent convention, the Iranian parliament will very likely vote to invoke Article 10 of the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), which allows signatories to withdraw from the treaty in case of extraordinary circumstances or threats to a nation's most vital interests.

Completely expected at this point. I've personally thought since the retaliatory strikes and the relatively hard line stance the Iranians have projected that escalation towards either the complete destruction of the Iranian state or the completion of their nuclear capabilities and the collapse of Israel/US influence in the region are the only two possible outcomes. Any hope that Iran would forgo nuclear capabilities was completely shattered with the attempted decapitation strike. It is clear to them the west cannot be trusted and thus their continued existence as a state and people can only be secured with the bomb.

On the flip side I disagree with some commentators who view the events of the past week as within the US/Israel's expectations. I think the overall reaction by Israeli society as well as the sudden reactionary movement of US naval assets into the region show that the calculus for the decapitation strike was likely to induce enough chaos and damage to Iranian leadership that they would be forced back to the negotiating table at a much weaker position or even better a coup could be incited with the loss of leadership. Now the calculus has changed since this has failed.

If nuclear capabilities are inevitable for Iran than western influence in the region will wane if nothing is done in the near term as a nuclear capable opposition means many hard power options are off the table. This doesn't even go into the possible spread of nuclear capabilities in the region or even worldwide if the taboo of nuclear acquisition is broken. This is not only existential in nature for Israel as a state due to its expansionary nature but also damaging towards the US's global influence in terms of military which has used the taboo of nuclear proliferation as a means of exerting its own hard power. The West cannot therefore back down now. I'm fully convinced a continued escalation from this point going forward into an eventual war involving the United States in some capacity.

Kyle Rittenhouse copycat perhaps?

As others have stated they need American assistance now. I believe the reality has set in that they've bit off more than they can chew as demonstrated by their attempt to communicate with the Iranians through a third party which got rebuffed. I suppose now the plan is to garner as much western sympathy as possible in order to draw in the Americans and maybe the Europeans into putting boots on the ground or to at the minimum create enough international pushback towards Iran so that they deescalate.

Not much of a war nerd but from my basic understanding the term hypersonic isn't referring to a class of weapons that can go hypersonic speeds but rather those that have a high degree of maneuverability at such speeds. Common missile technology in the modern era should always have result in hypersonic speeds in the terminal phase as at that point the problem is reaching the target fast enough to avoid any terminal phase antimissile defense systems. Insofar no "real" hypersonics have been used as the general trajectory of these missiles should not be in the classical arc pattern we've been seeing in the videos. Instead they would be blitzing over almost horizontally towards the target while moving vertically to avoid any defensive weapons.

And then news was forever mogged by the trans mega.

Yeah as much as the community rails against great man theory we do seem to have a tendency to latch on to it quite often lol