Mostly the second, but also, I think it's your duty to say if a radioactive facility has a leakage to protect the population. Even if they were lying, there are radiation sensors everywhere that would pick up a leak.
ColombianLenin
They will only join if:
A) The domestic politics allow it, which right now doesn't seem like it.
Or.
B) Iran is about to get defeated, because after Iran, Hezbollah would be next.
If the US joins they won't announce it, their bombs will.
Kinda hard to really say when the exact opposite can be said about Israeli AD
I think Iran already has a plan for whenever they would be attacked by the US. And this means it is very likely that they have factored in losses deemed acceptable from being struck first.
When you add in the fact that they are in high alert, it is likely that they will weather it better than they would have otherwise. What I mean is that if it was the US that attacked first on friday, while Iran was asleep, the damage would have been much more severe than what we have today.
Assuming this is true, there is a chance, albeit small and tainted with copium, that Iran is pulling back on their strikes because they don't want to cause too much devastation for fear of excessive escalation, while also generating the same impact as the 100-missile barrages did.
I guess the only thing I can think about the changes in the dynamics is that having Iran move from sending 100 missile barrages to 20 or 30 so drastically seems to be a voluntary decision. It would not make sense that even if Israel was destroying silos throughout all of these days, that the missiles would have run out so fast. It could have been a more gradual process.
Additionally, the big hit that iran got was on Day 1 on Friday, if they considered their stocks to be very low, it would have not made sense for them to have sent a large portion of it, namely 200 missiles, on day 1, considering that would leave them unarmed immediately after.
How expensive are Iran's missiles and compared to Israel's defences?
Manual of the urban guerrilla by Marighela
Rant: It sucks that the only thing going "OK" in the world, geopolitics wise, is the war in Ukraine.
Everything else makes me depressed. What kind of world is worth living in where it's just shittier and shittier?
At this point I kinda WANT China to become the new hegemon, maybe then they wouldn't be such passive shits.
What chance is there that Iran is ok with the lowering of intensity because they are OK with taking these hits?
They will light the region on fire
They were elected through bourgeois elections, meaning several of the bourgeois checks and balances are still in place.
Until the countries have more popular struggle, the system will remain as is, probably.