Well, it's impossible to really tell now, but you can see some interesting patterns by looking at the voting pattern on our last contract. Contracts have to be approved by a majority of the membership to be put in place, and generally the votes are more perfunctory, with most people approving. Often times you see 90 percent approval. That was not the case in our last contract.
Due to truly terrible bargaining, the contract was deficient for a large amount of people. Cost of living varies quite a bit in California, though it's generally high. In some places it's really bad, to the point of homeless grad students, in the case of Santa Cruz. Surprise surprise, the bargaining team delivered a shit contract that didn't address people's needs fully. We and a lot of others tried to agitate for continuing and escalating the strike, because the leadership was being real shit at it. They still had all the levers of power though at that time, so it was difficult. They even hired a PR firm to push the vote through lol. Despite that, several campuses still very much voted No on the contract, and overall, the results are a rather terrible look for the UAW, for anyone that's clued in.
The vote is split in two here, as this was before the union was combined into one bigger one. The percent is that which voted Yes on the contract. The second grouping was generally a little bit better off on average than the first grouping, though it's complicated as students sometimes went back and forth between the two depending on the quarter.
Vote results for last year's contract
UAW 2865
Yes 11,386 Votes (62%) No - 7,097 Votes (38%)
UC Berkeley: 69% 4,674
UC Davis: 66% 2,221
UC Irvine: 68% 1,570
UC Los Angeles: 64% 2,981
UC Merced: 27% 393
UC Riverside: 63% 1,111
UC San Diego: 73% 2,953
UC San Francisco: 70% 99
UC Santa Barbara: 35% 1,427
UC Santa Cruz: 20% 1,054
SRU-UAW
10,057 Yes Votes (68%) 4,640 No Votes (32%)
UC Berkeley: 72% 3,009
Berkeley Lab: 86% 205
UC Davis: 74% 1,975
UC Irvine: 73% 1,306
UC Los Angeles: 68% 2,275
UC Merced: 25% 275
UC Riverside: 72% 856
UC San Diego: 82% 2,410
UC San Francisco: 61% 620
UC Santa Barbara: 57% 1,045
UC Santa Cruz: 19% 721
I don't think it makes the poster cool by any means, but it's an effective way to deal with chuds sealioning or concern trolling. Often their shitty arguments aren't worthy of being engaged, and you don't want them to have free momentum. Hence, harass them till they are either banned or quit.