Jabril

joined 1 year ago
[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 month ago

China has invested hundreds of billions into the global south and has demonstrably raised wages of probably billions of people in the process. I remember a paper from a few years ago that demonstrated it with China telecom expansion. China providing affordable phone and Internet access for people who otherwise didn't have it increased real wages for impoverished people.

I was just watching the China Report on breakthrough news and they cited an increase of Indonesia's state income from 3 billion to 32 billion in two years after China invested 30 billion in nickel processing facilities there.

These are just two examples of what I assume to be hundreds where China is taking the money they make and investing it around the world in a way that is mutually beneficial and improves the lives of people in ways that most people probably aren't aware of. Of course the relationship isn't totally equal, China is coming out with the better end of the deal in most cases, but we also have many examples of responsible state leadership from partner countries negotiating for better deals and getting them. Gyude Moore and Varoufakis have spoken about this at length.

So it isn't accurate to say China is winning while everyone else loses. China is certainly doing a lot of good around the world which has real impacts on average people; infrastructure, employment, healthcare, and more. They are sharing their wealth in a way that is building up the productive forces of the world

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 month ago

Yes, I think the moment to escalate came at a time when the conditions weren't as preferable as they would have liked, but the narrative being pushed and for the most part accepted by US citizens is what is stated in the paper.

The reality is that the plan isn't really turning out how they wanted because it relies entirely on getting lift from copium. They believe their own propaganda and ability to push it on a population who is consistently accepting of heinous atrocities being carried out in their name for generations.

They paint the deal as a good deal that the other side just wouldn't accept, even when those of us who keep up with things know this isn't the case, most citizens will eagerly agree that Iran screwed the pooch by not accepting the great deal from the best deal maker.

Since this is all a stage towards China, which has a rapidly closing window of engagement before the US is no longer a competitor, they had to pull the trigger now. They need to be done with Iran in the next 3 years if they are going to try to initiate conflict with China before 2030.

[–] [email protected] 39 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (4 children)

I watched Brian Berletic’s latest on Iran yesterday, I check in about once a month these days because he repeats the same things a lot. One thing he’s been talking about for a decade and which I haven’t seen mentioned here is the 2009 Brookings Institution analysis paper Which Path to Persia?, a pdf of which which can be downloaded for free from their website here

picture of table of contents

Brian goes over it in his videos on the subject, but it is definitely worth a look because it really does lay out the exact strategy the US has been following since 2009. Here's a link to his latest video that starts when he dives into the paper

here's a link to his 2012 article on this paper

Some quotes Brian touches on:

spoilerFor those who favor regime change or a military attack on Iran (either by the United States or Israel), there is a strong argument to be made for trying this option first. Inciting regime change in Iran would be greatly assisted by convincing the Iranian people that their government is so ideologically blinkered that it refuses to do what is best for the people and instead clings to a policy that could only bring ruin on the country. The ideal scenario in this case would be that the United States and the international community present a package of positive inducements so enticing that the Iranian citizenry would support the deal, only to have the regime reject it. In a similar vein, any military operation against Iran will likely be very unpopular around the world and require the proper international context— both to ensure the logistical support the operation would require and to minimize the blowback from it. The best way to minimize international opprobrium and maximize support (however, grudging or covert) is to strike only when there is a widespread conviction that the Iranians were given but then rejected a superb offer—one so good that only a regime determined to acquire nuclear weapons and acquire them for the wrong reasons would turn it down. Under those circumstances, the United States (or Israel) could portray its operations as taken in sorrow, not anger, and at least some in the international community would conclude that the Iranians “brought it on themselves” by refusing a very good deal."

spoilerThe truth is that these all would be challenging cases to make. For that reason, it would be far more preferable if the United States could cite an Iranian provocation as justification for the airstrikes before launching them. Clearly, the more outrageous, the more deadly, and the more unprovoked the Iranian action, the better off the United States would be. Of course, it would be very difficult for the United States to goad Iran into such a provocation without the rest of the world recognizing this game, which would then undermine it. (One method that would have some possibility of success would be to ratchet up covert regime change efforts in the hope that Tehran would retaliate overtly, or even semi-overtly, which could then be portrayed as an unprovoked act of Iranian aggression. This suggests that this option might benefit from being held in abeyance until such time as the Iranians made an appropriately provocative move, as they do from time to time. In that case, it would be less a determined policy to employ airstrikes and instead more of an opportunistic hope that Iran would provide the United States with the kind of provocation that would justify airstrikes. However, that would mean that the use of airstrikes could not be the primary U.S. policy toward Iran (even if it were Washington’s fervent preference), but merely an ancillary contingency to another option that would be the primary policy unless and until Iran provided the necessary pretext.

The most important point Brian drives home is this: Iran is one domino on the way towards China, and nothing is stopping the US from continuing down this path. Any talk of negotiations, not wanting war or escalation, etc is running cover for the next phase of US led, authorized, and planned escalation towards maintaining global hegemony.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 1 month ago

waiting for Trump to say Israel has advanced space lasers that can see underground and that's why they are the only ones with this special intel

[–] [email protected] 31 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I haven't heard Trump say it yet but for some reason I'm assuming he goes for "KAY-TAR"

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Plenty of those posters here too

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 month ago

And what's so bad about that?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

The burger has come full circle

[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 month ago

It gains you the ability to say "no one knows how bad Castro was as me, I was there" it's the yeonmi park role

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 month ago

RFK Jr is a poster here

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 month ago (1 children)

at least a few

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago

You are hyper fixating on me mentioning Deng in a way that isn't really relevant to what I was saying. I didn't anything about Deng prescribing what is happening now when he was in office. As I already responded, the pathway towards becoming tied into global capital started with him and has continued beyond what he may or may not have had in mind. The point is that this process and the principles around it by which China operates have been decades in the making, and expecting some radical shift from that is naive

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