this post was submitted on 30 Jun 2025
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Image is sourced from this People's Dispatch article, depicting communists attending the 2023 funeral of Communist Party President Guillermo Teillier, who was tortured for years under Pinochet's regime and helped rebuild the Communist Party while under a fascist dictatorship.


We had the Six Day War in 1967, we had the Nineteen Day War (Yom Kippur) in 1973, and now we've had the Twelve Day War. I wonder how many more very short wars will plague the region until Palestine is freed?

However, moving on from Western Asia from a little while, we have some interesting news from Chile - the former labor minister and communist, Jeannette Jara, has won the primary election for the left-wing bloc in a landslide (~60% of the vote), as the current President, Gabriel Boric, is term-limited. Her achievements include a minimum wage increase and a reduction of the work week to 40 hours.

In November, Jara will face down the contenders from other parties, including José Antonio Kast, who is analogous to Brazil's Bolsonaro. Unfortunately, Jara is now the lead figure of a party that has been taking quite a few Ls under Boric's leadership. Ostensibly a Democratic Socialist, he ruled as - you guessed it - a neoliberal, bending the knee to the US and EU. He not only failed to overthrow the Pinochet-era constitution, he actually allowed the right-wing to turn the proposed new constitution into something worse, and had to settle for campaigning against the new one and keeping the old one. And he had very little solidarity with other left-leaning leaders on the continent, like Maduro, Lula, Petro, or Castillo.

With this in mind, I cannot help but look at Argentina's very recent history and feel a little dread - but if anybody can save Chile at this point, it can only be a communist.


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

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Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

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English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
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English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 52 points 21 hours ago (1 children)

Ottawa to fly Burger Reich flag at city hall for July 4th

So much for "elbows up" I guess. That didn't take long kkkanada (and yes they're getting roasted for this decision)

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[–] [email protected] 68 points 22 hours ago (9 children)
[–] [email protected] 29 points 20 hours ago (1 children)

US House of Representatives Narrowly Passes President Trump’s Controversial Bill - Telesur English

Article

The bill allocates $75 billion to ICE and border operations, $45 billion to detain immigrants (including minors), and $69 billion for border wall construction. The U.S. House of Representatives narrowly approved President Trump’s controversial $1.3 trillion fiscal package, with a 218-214 vote after intense overnight negotiations. The bill redistributes wealth toward billionaires while cutting food aid for 5 million vulnerable Americans and stripping healthcare from 12 million.

House Speaker Mike Johnson faced a Republican rebellion, led by the conservative Freedom Caucus, which demanded guarantees on future amendments. A procedural vote was extended for hours as leaders negotiated with holdouts. Trump personally intervened, holding urgent meetings with dissenting lawmakers.

Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries staged a historic 8-hour, 44-minute filibuster to protest the bill, setting a new House record. Despite his efforts, the legislation passed, marking a key political victory for Trump ahead of his self-imposed July 4 deadline.

The bill makes Trump’s 2017 tax cuts permanent and adds new breaks, eliminating taxes on tips, overtime, and Social Security benefits. However, it slashes food assistance for nearly 5 million people and reduces elder care services, disproportionately impacting low-income families.

Medicaid reforms impose work requirements and cut federal cost-sharing, projected to leave 12 million uninsured over the next decade. Meanwhile, the plan adds $3.25 trillion to the national debt while granting $1.3 trillion in tax cuts to billionaires.

It allocates $75 billion to ICE and border operations, $45 billion to detain immigrants (including minors), and $69 billion for border wall construction. The bill also eases regulations on firearm silencers, drawing criticism from public safety advocates.

A temporary raise of the state/local tax deduction cap to $40,000 (reverting to $10,000 after five years) was included, along with a $5 trillion debt ceiling increase. Johnson hinted at a second reconciliation package later in 2025, signaling a broader fiscal strategy.

Only two Republicans joined Democrats in opposing the bill. Trump plans to sign it by July 4, enacting one of the most polarizing fiscal overhauls in recent U.S. history. The White House claims deficit reduction, but critics dismiss these projections as unfounded.

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[–] [email protected] 53 points 22 hours ago (4 children)
[–] [email protected] 50 points 21 hours ago* (last edited 21 hours ago) (2 children)

why did they observe any red lines after several members of their military high command were killed in airstrikes, are they dumb?

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[–] [email protected] 34 points 21 hours ago

Didn't they say something basically the same as this during True Promise 3?

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 21 hours ago* (last edited 21 hours ago) (15 children)

When confronted on a statement that seemed to indicate Zohran Mamdani doesn't think billioniares should exist:

The vision that I'm speaking of, it's a vision that I want everyone to enjoy and benefit from, including billionaires....

So you weren't proposing that your policies would ultimately lead to a New York with no billionaires?

No. That's not what I was proposing.

— Zohran Mamdani on Morning Edition (NPR), July 1, 2025

[–] [email protected] 23 points 20 hours ago* (last edited 20 hours ago)

this will definitely win over some billionaires and only turn off some thousands of dirty socialist supporters, good trade

[–] [email protected] 15 points 20 hours ago (1 children)

Is using

CWcuck
allowed on Hexbear dot net?

[–] [email protected] 10 points 20 hours ago

Yeah. I’ve been calling our president Cucky for a year now with no issues

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[–] [email protected] 63 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago) (6 children)

78% of Hispanic Independents who left the Democratic party in 2024 did it because they didn't fight Republicans enough (Overton poll) @PpollingNumbers

[–] [email protected] 15 points 18 hours ago

The upswell in interest from Latinos of a wide variety of national origins in joining PSL affirms that this is going the way I would hope

[–] [email protected] 35 points 22 hours ago

Even the mythical center doesn't like feckless cowards? Who would've thought.

[–] [email protected] 30 points 22 hours ago

Wow, that’s really telling. Feels like so many people just want someone to actually stand up and fight and Makes wonder if things could’ve been different if they showed more backbone 😔

[–] [email protected] 32 points 22 hours ago

not-listening Democratic strategists getting ready to tell politicians to get more racist to court "the independent" vote

[–] [email protected] 17 points 20 hours ago

Do you have a link I can use to antagonize liberals over this?

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[–] [email protected] 26 points 20 hours ago (2 children)

Biden Condemns Trump’s “Big and Beautiful” Tax Bill as a Cruel Gift to Billionaires - Telesur English

Article

Former US President Joe Biden denounces Donald Trump’s newly approved tax bill, criticizing its massive giveaways to the wealthy and devastating cuts to essential social programs like Medicare, Medicaid, and food assistance.

Former President Joe Biden sharply criticized the recent approval of Donald Trump’s flagship tax legislation, calling it “reckless and cruel” for delivering enormous tax breaks to billionaires while slashing vital programs that support working-class and vulnerable Americans. Biden’s condemnation echoes widespread left-wing outrage across the Americas, where progressive voices warn that the bill deepens inequality and threatens the social safety net.

At the heart of the controversy is the bill’s massive tax giveaway to the richest Americans. Analyses from left-leaning policy groups show that while all income brackets receive some tax relief, approximately 60% of the benefits flow to the top 20% of earners, with the wealthiest gaining tens of thousands of dollars annually. Meanwhile, low-income households see only minimal tax cuts, and many will actually lose ground once cuts to social programs are factored in.

The bill enacts deep cuts to Medicaid and food assistance programs like SNAP, which millions of low-income families, seniors, and veterans depend on. According to the Congressional Budget Office, these reductions could result in millions fewer Americans having health insurance and receiving food aid. The legislation also threatens Medicare by proposing spending caps that could lead to significant cuts in the near future.

Furthermore, the bill includes increased spending on defense and border enforcement, including billions for expanding the border wall and hiring additional immigration agents, reflecting a hardline immigration stance that many progressives vehemently oppose.

Economic and Social Consequences: Rising Debt and Costs for the Majority

The Congressional Budget Office warns that the bill will add over $3 trillion to the national debt in the coming decade, exacerbating an already precarious fiscal situation. This growing debt burden is expected to drive up interest rates, making everyday expenses like mortgages, car loans, and credit card payments more expensive for average Americans.

Critics also highlight that the bill’s tax policies disproportionately favor states with low or no state income tax, such as Texas and Wyoming, while imposing caps on state and local tax deductions (SALT) that hurt residents of higher-tax states. This uneven treatment further entrenches regional and economic inequalities.

Prominent left-wing figures and organizations across Latin America and the US have denounced the bill. Democratic leaders like House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries staged historic, marathon speeches to oppose the legislation, framing it as an attack on “children, seniors, veterans, unions, farmers, Dreamers, the working class, and the poor.”

Elon Musk, once a Trump ally, has also criticized the bill for its regressive tax cuts and for eliminating incentives for clean energy, calling it “political suicide” for Republicans.

The “Big and Beautiful” tax bill represents a stark choice between the interests of the ultra-wealthy and the needs of working people. As Biden and progressive voices warn, the legislation’s combination of massive tax breaks for billionaires, cuts to essential social programs, and increased militarization of the border threatens to deepen social inequality and undermine the fragile economic security of millions of Americans. The fight against this bill is part of a broader struggle for social justice and economic democracy in the Americas.

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[–] [email protected] 53 points 23 hours ago (3 children)

BBC bans ‘high-risk’ broadcasts after Bob Vylan - Russia Today

Article Text

The BBC has announced that it will no longer broadcast or livestream performances deemed ‘high risk’. The British public broadcaster faced backlash after airing a set by punk-rap duo Bob Vylan at the Glastonbury Festival, during which the group chanted against the Israeli military.

The group’s lead vocalist encouraged the crowd to chant “Death, death to the IDF” and “From the river to the sea, Palestine must be, will be, inshallah, it will be free” during the performance last weekend. Videos circulating on social media show the crowd echoing the chants, with some waving Palestinian flags.

“We deeply regret that such offensive and deplorable behaviour appeared on the BBC and want to apologise to our viewers, listeners, and in particular the Jewish community,” the broadcaster said in a statement released on Thursday.

The BBC noted that the band was classified as ‘high risk’ ahead of the festival, along with six other acts, but was still permitted to perform with “appropriate mitigations.” The company admitted to “errors” in the compliance processes and confirmed that Bob Vylan’s set has been permanently removed from BBC iPlayer and BBC Sounds.

The outlet pledged to provide on-site editorial policy support at major music festivals and events moving forward. It also announced plans to issue clearer guidance on the criteria for withdrawing a livestream.


[–] [email protected] 28 points 21 hours ago (1 children)

i forgot that RT is blocked wholesale in the UK so i cant read that article lmao fuck this place

[–] [email protected] 17 points 20 hours ago (2 children)

You're not missing a ton. I reposted the important stuff. RT tends to be pro-zionist in the way they voice/write these articles so it's not like they have super great coverage. Though credit where it's due they do platform in their opinion sections anti-zionist voices at times.

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[–] [email protected] 24 points 21 hours ago

Even in the U.S., we used to literally be sold music by mainstream rap performers singing about killing cops. It's a sick, sick world that makes me nostalgic for that kind of appropriation and commodification by capitalists. WTF?!

[–] [email protected] 27 points 22 hours ago (1 children)

Nothing more punk than buckling to advertiser pressure

[–] [email protected] 27 points 21 hours ago (1 children)

The BBC can't help themselves from talking about this stuff either which I'm turns makes those Punk bands infinitely more popular because everyone fucking hates the BBC

[–] [email protected] 15 points 20 hours ago (1 children)

Yeah Bob Vylan probably blew up in popularity from this

[–] [email protected] 7 points 15 hours ago

I heard We Live Here after the thing. They're good, I can see why they're getting popular beyond just having their 15 minutes. Very British, though, beware.

[–] [email protected] 53 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (7 children)

in US procurement news, U.S. is Falling Short on 155mm Artillery Shell Production: Current Output and 1 Million Goal Timeline

Although significant efforts to ramp up artillery ammunition production — efforts that have cost billions of dollars — the U.S. has still not reached its planned output targets. As of June 2025, the total monthly production volume of 155mm artillery rounds stands at 40,000 units. This was reported by John Reim, head of the U.S. Army’s Program Executive Office for Ammunition and Armaments, in an interview with Defense One. According to the Pentagon’s plans announced in February 2024, the target for April 2025 was set at 75,000 rounds per month, with a goal of reaching 100,000 by October 2025. However, despite the current rate of 40,000 155mm rounds per month, the U.S. Army remains confident it will reach the target in early 2026. This means the U.S. will be able to produce more than 1 million 155mm artillery rounds only in 2026.

As Defense Express notes, it is crucial not to confuse a round with a projectile. The figure of 40,000 refers to the number of 155mm projectiles, a level the U.S. reached back in September 2024, according to a Pentagon report. However, a complete round also includes a propellant charge and a fuze. According to that report, while 40,000 projectiles were produced, only 18,000 charges (likely meaning full sets) were made. In other words, as of September 2024, the U.S. was effectively producing just 18,000 complete 155mm artillery rounds per month. In the eight months since then, the U.S. defense industry has managed to double complete round production — a notable achievement. Still, the major gap in charge production compared to projectiles is due to a shortage of propellant and the fact that the U.S. had no domestic production.

Currently, all U.S. artillery charges are manufactured at the Valleyfield facility near Montreal, Canada, which is owned by General Dynamics. However, production is being relocated to the U.S. at new American Ordnance plants in Middletown, Iowa, and Camden, Arkansas, where another General Dynamics facility will also be built. In parallel with expanding shell body production and increasing the capacity for filling them with explosives — which remains a challenge, as 100,000 shells per month would require 66,000 tons of explosives, much of which is currently imported — these developments will enable the U.S. to eventually reach the target of producing 100,000 complete 155mm rounds per month.

So, it's up to 40,000 projectiles - that's from 14,400 at in 2022, which is not even an extra 30,000 in 3-and-a-half years, and they're supposed to get to 100,000 by next year stonks-up. For comparison, the daily usage by Russia is 10-20k, with a peak of 60k some time ago.

But wait, it gets better - it seems like production may have actually gone down from last year

spoiler

The Army recently told Congress that 155mm production currently stands at 40,000/month. This is of course a decrease from the 50,000/m LaPlante stated last year.

We now have a likely explanation for why it fell. The new shell body production facility in Mesquite, TX is massively behind schedule. The first two of three production lines are still not fully completed, and the third is likely to miss its due date. The Army has formally notified General Dynamics Ordnance and Tactical Systems that their management of the facility is being reviewed for breach of contract. They have until July 10 to detail how they might be able to get things back on track.

As a result, the Army's Load, Assemble and Pack capacity exceeds their ability to produce the metal parts of the projectiles. Previously there was a stockpile of shell bodies that were being drawn on by the LAP facilities, but those must have been exhausted, so projectile production has now fallen to 40,000 which is what the other metal parts plants can produce. Mesquite's 3 lines are supposed to produce 10,000 shell bodies each.

Once again, the West's mockery of the Russians for relying on old stockpiles is projection. It's Cold War era stockpiles all the way down!

More details on the potential breach of contract: Army ‘considering terminating’ General Dynamics’ oversight of new 155mm production lines

... the service is now “considering terminating” the GD deals for all three UPLA lines, according to a June 13 letter from Army Contracting Command (ACC) to the company. “GD-OTS has failed to complete the projects on time or make meaningful progress towards meeting the required completion dates of design and installation of the three (3) UAPLs,” the Army wrote in the letter. ... “Because GD-OTS has failed to meet significant milestones for UAPL 1, leading to six (6) missed First Article Test dates spanning April 2024 through June 2025, resultant schedule impacts have continued to extend [to] UAPL 2 and UAPL schedules,” the Army explained. “Specifically, for Line 3, since January 2025 alone GD-OTS’ estimate for equipment installation slipped three (3) months, thus extending total installation timeframe and subsequent line prove-out activities into 2027.”

Additionally, the service said that even after it was determined that Line 1 equipment did not meet “technical requirements of the contract,” the company continued shipping Line 3 equipment. As a result, there is a “significant risk” that similar Line 3 equipment will also not be up to snuff. Compounding the issue, on May 29 GD-OTS notified Army officials that it had halted work on UAPL 3 “on its own accord,” a decision taken without direction or concurrence from the service.

yeah that contract I signed up for? yeah I'm just not gonna do like a third of it man, I just don't feel like doing it doggirl-sleep

“Because GD-OTS has failed to perform the UAPL Task Orders… within the timeframe required by the contractual terms, the USG is considering terminating” the deals but a final decision has not been made, the Army added. The letter does not go into detail about what other companies could be tapped to replace GD-OTS.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 20 hours ago

Oh you mentioned a pet peeve of mine. Russia uses outdated coldwar weapons but the US supplies 40 year old top of the line weapons.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago) (2 children)

The US doesn't care about traditional gun based artillery, and hasn't cared since the Gulf war, it's not a critical part of US/NATO/western aligned doctrine. They're only trying to up artillery production because of Ukraine. US doctrine is all about delivering air support with precision guided munitions. This doctrine was spurred on by its success during the Gulf war where 65 F-111s armed with 4x GBU-12 Paveway 500lb laser guided bombs destroyed over 1500 Iraqi tanks, with the relatively newer F-15Es destroying a couple hundred more with the same loadout (the performance of the A-10 aircraft and M1 Abrams tanks were vastly overstated). Artillery was mainly relegated to counter fire/battery missions with MLRS rockets with DPICM cluster munitions, and ATACMS missiles taking out static air defence sites. US/NATO gun based artillery was vastly outgunned, out ranged and outnumbered by Iraq, yet it had very little effect on the war.

This US doctrine has been refined since then, with the introduction of the 250lb class Small Diameter glide Bombs (SDBs) to replace the GBU-12. The laser guided GBU-39 SDB variant, and the GBU-53 SDB II with a multimode radar seeker, and Israeli SPICE 250 with TV guidance, can hit fast moving targets at distances of 75km, and stationary taegets at distances of over 100km, all independent of GNSS/GPS guidance, and pack a much bigger punch than your average 155mm artillery round. Modern EOTS systems, such as those on the F-35, can track targets at this range from medium to high altitude. A vast upgrade on the 15km range of the GBU-12 and 1990s era targeting pods. One F-35 carries 8x SDBs internally, an F-15E can carry 20 along with two external fuel tanks + two conformal fuel tanks, much more than the 4 GBU-12s per aircraft. Essentially, why have artillery when you have this:

Now this obviously relies on obtaining air superiority, but the US have invested heavily in this area and SEAD/DEAD (suppression/destruction of enemy air defences) capabilities. Stealth strike aircraft also allow for carrying out strikes in contested airspace. How many countries have the capability of stopping an F-35 from getting within 75km of a frontline target and dropping 8x SDBs? And if longer range air defence systems are suppressed, F-15s and F-16s can start doing the same outside of the range of short and medium range air defence systems. In other words, how many missile launchers (and other targets) did Israel take out in Iran, using this class of SDB/SPICE 250, along with UCAVs and Mossad assets with ATGMs and FPV drones, without firing a single artillery shell? Visually verified numbers on missile launchers alone, excluding duplicates and decoys, are around 60, actual numbers likely higher.

Further, I don't think Russia wants to fight an artillery and drone based attrition war, if they could get air superiority near Kyiv and bomb it every day with Su-34s they would, and they certainly tried at the beginning of the war, it's just that the Russian Air Force lacks the SEAD/DEAD capabilities to do this. Ukraine also don't want to fight this war where they're drip fed western weapons and slowly losing ground to Russia every day, if they could do a NATO style combined arms maneuver offensive they would, but they tried that in the summer of 2023 and failed, they don't have the air assets for that and will most likely never get them. Which is why the situation in Ukraine is like this. Ukraine is a unique situation and this does not apply to a hypothetical US-Russia conflict, or a NATO-Russia conflict, or even a US-China conflict, which would be primarily a naval conflict and not a land war. The lesson from Ukraine should be that, it's a unique situation and what's true of Ukraine is not true outside of it. For instance, Shahed/Geran one way attack drones: highly useful vs Ukraine, useless vs Israel.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 20 hours ago* (last edited 19 hours ago)

The US doesn't care about traditional gun based artillery

Which is why they're fielding 1500 M109 Paladins (admittedly mostly built during the Cold War, but still, so were the Abramses), with hundreds more on the way, and are on their 4th program to replace it? (I guess you could interpret the failure of those programs as it not being considered that important, but still, seems pretty wasteful even by American standards).

And like, surely the pre-eminent imperial hegemon can afford to do two thing at once? Even if artillery isn't that important, they can still make more than a couple days' consumption, just in case? The Ukraine war is exactly demonstrating the importance of deep strategic stockpiles.

These repeated procurement issues are showing rot within the US MIC - rot which also affects the airpower you're talking about, the capacity to produce planes and spare parts for them, to produce bombs, to supply fuel. I guess we could assume that it's just the ground branch that's getting screwed over, and everything's looking up for the airforce... but why would we assume that? What about the state of US industry would justify that viewpoint?

Essentially, why have artillery when you have this

Because there's obviously a massive cost differential between these two solutions? Delivering ordnance via plane, precisely-guided ordnance too, is substantially more expensive. Airpower cannot necessarily sustain such large volumes of fire - the '91 & '03 Iraq wars both involved months of preparation, of moving assets into place, stockpiling fuel and munitions, unopposed. Conversely, the Libya and anti-ISIS Iraq campaigns didn't have as much stockpiling going on, and both ended up with munition shortages and bombing having to be paused.

These two technologies do not compete with one another, they complement each other - artillery for mass, airpower for precision and range. The NATO argument has been that mass doesn't matter if you have enough precision/performance - but does that actually hold up? Has NATO actually successfully used overwhelming technological superiority to thoroughly defeat someone? Of course the classic argument here is the 2003 Iraq War - which is predicated on arbitrarily separating the "proper" war from the counter-insurgency that followed, just drawing a line in the sand and saying "Well, I won - this other thing that followed directly after and went horribly? Completely separate thing, no connection to previous events whatsoever".

how many missile launchers (and other targets) did Israel take out in Iran, using this class of SDB/SPICE 250, along with UCAVs and Mossad assets with ATGMs and FPV drones, without firing a single artillery shell? Visually verified numbers on missile launchers alone, excluding duplicates and decoys, are around 60, actual numbers likely higher.

And how much did it cost them? If Israel was ostensibly able to keep freely flying over Iran and bombing whatever they want... why did they accept a ceasefire? How much munitions did they burn through, how much damage did they themselves sustain (we probably won't know for some time due to censorship)? Was it worth it?

And the situation there is obviously different - artillery doesn't play a role here, because this is fighting between countries that don't even border one another. Airpower is obviously a more relevant factor here due to the range - but airpower doesn't win wars. Was Iran defeated? Even Iraq, while it certainly sustained damage in '91, was only properly destroyed in '03 - with a full-scale ground invasion. The Libya and anti-ISIS campaigns both needed militias actually on the ground (and in the Iraq case, whatever still functioning Iraqi army units that could be thrown together) to achieve something. The Syrian rebels weren't defeated by airpower - the Syrian army needed to actually be on the ground fighting, and in the offensive last year, Russian airpower didn't stop the rebels - with the Syrian state collapsing and the army giving up, HTS could just keep waltzing in city after city, even if they were getting bombed quite a bit.

Airpower can certainly inflict heavy damage and soften the enemy up for the eventual ground force - but that ground force still needs to come in at some point in order to actually achieve anything strategically. And they'll need artillery - because airpower by itself cannot deliver and keep delivering for months the amount of firepower necessary for a real campaign.

if they could get air superiority near Kyiv and bomb it every day with Su-34s they would

but... they are bombing Kiev, and many other targets across Ukraine quite regularly - just with drones and missiles instead. Would Su-34s do that much more damage? Did Israel do that much more to Iran than Russia has been able to do to Ukraine?

if they could do a NATO style combined arms maneuver offensive they would, but they tried that in the summer of 2023 and failed, they don't have the air assets for that

Ah, the classic "it's only NATO tactics is it's from the Náto region of France, otherwise it's just sparkling combined arms" - maybe tactics that are completely dependent on highly expensive assets like this are bad, and the fact that Western advisors didn't have any alternative approaches to offer is an indictment of them and the inflexibility of their doctrine?

Ukraine is a unique situation and this does not apply to a hypothetical US-Russia conflict, or a NATO-Russia conflict

How is the Ukraine conflict not applicable to a NATO-Russia conflict? Like, what? For a US-Russia conflict sure, those are countries separated by an ocean, but fighting across the plains of Europe is obviously relevant for NATO-Russia?!


Like, I don't disagree that airpower is important, and SEAD/DEAD is important and Russia has deficiencies in that area - but to dismiss the entire concept of artillery with "eh, we'll just bomb them with planes" is just... baffling to me.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago)

They're only trying to up artillery production because of Ukraine

and utterly failing to meet their production targets, i understand its not their literal upmost priority to build artillery vs air stuff but like you just wrote some massive paragraphs arguing about doctrine that misses the point, post some screed about the US being able to suddenly surge air asset production that would be a far more relevant to a discussion about the US military's ability to meet production targets.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 21 hours ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 14 points 21 hours ago* (last edited 21 hours ago) (1 children)

And drugs. Well, some drugs.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 13 hours ago

How many grams in an ounce of weed?

[–] [email protected] 20 points 1 day ago (2 children)

lol wtf how are they this bad at war production

[–] [email protected] 26 points 23 hours ago

It's never been about production, it's been about profiteering. This is why the British Empire collapsed too. Turns out when your entire military supply chain is geared to maintain empire with minimal requirements for daily armament, actual war exhausts your supply really quick.

Russia and China (and Iran to some extent) know this. That's why the US is panicking because it'd lose a ground war to any one of those countries in a matter of days because it's unable to maintain a front. Especially if their compradors in those regions collapse or change allegiance.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 23 hours ago* (last edited 23 hours ago)

Turns out, deindustrialization is actually pretty devastating, and real economies aren't just a video game where you build some extra factories and start pumping out gear - you lose personnel, you lose institutional knowledge (I had a post last year about how everyone who understood the ICBMs is apparently dead now - critical support to the boomers for being egotistic assholes and not bothering to pass on the technical knowledge necessary to keep the empire's war machine functioning, I guess), you lose established supply chains (as seen here with them having to import the explosives used in the shells - you'd think the US would, you know, be able to actually make those at home?), and that's damage that can't be undone by just electing a "based" guy who'll totally press the big red ReIndustrialize button sitting in the Oval Office xi-button

It's the "halted work on UAPL 3 “on its own accord,”" part here that really gets me, too, imagine not only repeatedly failing to meet your production targets, but straight up telling your boss that you're just going to stop working on a major part of the project you were assigned. And like, at a normal job you might get fired, but this is national defense! And you just get a strongly-worded letter, instead of, you know, being prosecuted for treason and having your fancy (barely functional) factory nationalized kind-vladimir-ilyich

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Court rejected Pal Action appeal for relief in relation to proscription, dont look like the states gonna back down from this, theyre set to become a terrorist group as of saturday and their ig went down

[–] [email protected] 26 points 23 hours ago

Well, looks like the Dissident IRA just got a new friend

[–] [email protected] 7 points 19 hours ago

Hope unshackled by pretenses they become even more effective rat-salute-2

[–] [email protected] 38 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

U.S., Colombia withdraw ambassadors amid accusations of coup plotting - Miami Herald

Article

Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced that he ordered the recall of John T. McNamara, the acting ambassador in Bogotá, on Thursday "following baseless and reprehensible statements from senior Colombian government officials." The State Department also called Colombia an "essential strategic partner" but said it would pursue "other measures to make clear our deep concern over the current state of our bilateral relationship."

In response, Petro said he would call back Ambassador Daniel García-Peña from Washington in order to "brief us on the progress of the bilateral agenda to which I committed myself from the beginning of my government."

Although Rubio did not elaborate on the alleged "reprehensible" statements, Colombian newspaper El Tiempo on Thursday published a letter allegedly sent to the U.S. House Committee on Ethics calling for an investigation into House Republicans, including Florida lawmakers Rep. Mario Díaz-Balart, Rep. María Elvira Salazar, and Rep. Carlos Antonio Gimenez. The letter was signed by 30 Colombian representatives.

In it, the congressmen expressed "deep concern" about the lawmakers' conduct and said that "any unjustified interference in the internal affairs of a sovereign country undermines" the principles of mutual respect between nations.

Representatives Díaz-Balart and Gimenez were mentioned alongside Trump advisors including Rubio in recordings leaked to the Spanish newspaper El País that purport to show Petro's former Foreign Minister, Álvaro Leyva, seeking U.S. pressure to oust his old boss.

"I was in the United States with a top-tier figure: Mario Díaz-Balart. The Díaz-Balarts are the ones behind the Secretary of State," Leyva allegedly told an unknown person in the recording. (Rep. Salazar was not mentioned in the recording but Colombian lawmakers accused her of making public comments aimed at delegitimizing Petro).

According to El País, the White House never considered Leyva's proposal, and Díaz-Balart dismissed the claims, saying he meets with all kinds of groups including officials in Colombia's current government. "I laugh at so many fabrications, nonsense, and hypocrisy. It reminds me of the saying ‘every fool with his own agenda'", he said.

Gimenez sloughed off the accusations as a "media circus by Gustavo Petro and his henchmen" and said they shouldn't complain if the U.S. denies later denies them visas.

Concrete evidence of an actual coup plot remains elusive and analysts see the rhetoric from Colombia's government as problematic.

"The only proof that we have [of a coup plot] are Leyva's recordings… We do not even have real evidence of this happening from Leyva associates, which is problematic because it is not clear if these individuals were actively conspiring, especially as many of them have strongly denied these allegations," said Sergio Guzmán, director of Colombia Risk Analysis, a consultancy.

"The U.S. Congress doesn't want to remain silent nor let this slide," he added.

The recall of ambassadors is the most severe escalation yet in the tense relationship between Trump and Petro that has been brewing for months. Guzmán points to a number of factors deteriorating the relationship including Petro's treatment of the opposition; lack of political protection for presidential candidates; Colombia joining the BRICS development bank, and rising coca cultivation which could lead to U.S. aid cuts to combat drug trafficking.

The analyst said that Petro's impulsive foreign policy has made "Colombia increasingly isolated and less credible" with its ally the United States. His current Foreign Minister, Laura Sarabia, also announced her resignation on Thursday.

Senator Paola Holguín from the opposition Democratic Center party told the Miami Herald that Petro's "repeated disrespectful statements, lack of commitment to fighting drug dealing and terrorism, and the alignment of our country with anti-democratic regimes and U.S. rivals are creating growing hardships" between the two countries.

Meanwhile, Petro's supporters demand U.S. politicians respect Colombia's sovereignty and its democratically elected president. "Calling him a narco-terrorist and drug addict is more than an insult; it's also an unacceptable fallacy; it's an affront to our nation and its sovereignty," wrote Senator María José Pizarro Rodríguez of Petro's Historic Pact for Colombia political party on X.

Colombia and the U.S. have built strong bonds over two centuries but the relationship has been strained in the past - namely over Cold War politics and the war on drugs. This latest diplomatic row, however, is disconcerting for those who study the relationship.

"We are very worried over the current state of the diplomatic relations between the U.S. and Colombia," said Holguín. "The U.S. has been our main commercial partner, a great ally in our fight against narcotrafficking and terrorism, and an important humanitarian supporter."

Benjamin Gedan, Director of the Wilson Center's Latin America Program, echoed the concerns, stating, "For decades, Colombia has been the most strategic U.S. partner in the region, so it is troubling to see yet another diplomatic crisis."

[–] [email protected] 37 points 1 day ago (5 children)

I'm not sure that this video counts as news, as it's more a single person's speculation. But I think it's worth watching. Somebody's thoughts on links between the big US spending bill, RFK's wearables comments, Neuralink, and Alligator Alcatraz.

[–] [email protected] 32 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

I already don't like any of the implications of all those names in one sentence

[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 day ago

This is freaking me out

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