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Large Language Model Performance Doubles Every 7 Months (spectrum.ieee.org)

submitted 1 week ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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By 2030, AI will greatly outperform humans in some complex intellectual tasks. Discover how LLMs are doubling their capabilities every seven months.

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[–] [email protected] 121 points 1 week ago (6 children)

This is like measuring the increasing speeds of cars in the early years and extrapolating that they would be supersonic by now by ignoring the exponential impact that air resistance has.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 week ago

Air resistance has cubic not exponential impact

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