TheModerateTankie

joined 4 years ago

There are two new variants that have shown up and have the potential to start new covid waves. This one in China, and another one in NY, both are growing at about the same rate. Europe has both variants growing at about the same rate.

Expect a new wave to start showing up in the US in the next few weeks.

There's been relatively low rates of covid since the beginning of the year, but it looks like that's over.

JPWeiland has been pretty accurate in forecasting and monitoring what's been going on with regards to covid waves, if you want more detail. https://bsky.app/profile/jpweiland.bsky.social

[–] TheModerateTankie@hexbear.net 6 points 1 month ago (1 children)

It's what you can expect from someone who got really good grades.

[–] TheModerateTankie@hexbear.net 25 points 1 month ago (1 children)

It's real. I saw a BBC documentary where they toured a detainment facility. It looked like a vocational school where people went home on the weekends, but eerie music would play over all the footage so it was obviously up to no good.

I am curious about how they are going to make dying to the final boss fifty times dramatically interesting

[–] TheModerateTankie@hexbear.net 26 points 1 month ago (1 children)

It's not right! They need to buy all that data from google, microsoft, and amazon like the rest of the world! soviet-huff

[–] TheModerateTankie@hexbear.net 2 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Is it this issue? - https://github.com/ublue-os/bazzite/issues/2344

Someone fixed a similar issue by setting their display color accuracy to "Prefer Efficency" instead of "Prefer Accuracy"

you can boot ostree:1 change the setting, run sudo ostree admin pin 1 then rebase back to testing (not reboot to ostree:0) that should hopefully work around it

[–] TheModerateTankie@hexbear.net 3 points 1 month ago (4 children)

The ublue releases (bazzite/bluefin/aurora) are tweaked to be set up and ready to go with minimal or no set up. You can switch between ublue and the normal fedora atomic distros, or even user customized variants, from what I understand. The root system will change, but anything installed under your user account will stay the same. The only problem that might occur between switching is that different desktop environments might overwrite some settings and cause problems that way. You would want a way to backup your config files just in case if you do a lot of switching.

This also means you can't install multiple desktop environments side by side. Like if you wanted to choose between kde,gnome,xfce at the log in screen, it's not possible under the atmoic distros. When i've done that on regular distros it would always result in a mess, and getting rid of a DE meant a lot of orphaned programs I didn't want, so I avoid doing that, but this is a potential downside to the atomic distros. You would have to rebase and redownload stuff every time you switch DE.

Otherwise they are rock solid and basically designed to get you up and running as fast as possible, and be as stable as possible with seamless background updates. I'm running bluefin, and it's the most user friendly and smooth experience on linux i've ever had.

Yep. I'm running bluefin. I just went from a fedora 41 base to 42. Didn't get a notification or have to watch progress bars, just rebooted into fresh new base. Nothing wierd happened. Nothing broke. So good. stalin-feels-good

There is nothing about the tech they are using that makes it a requirement to base of fedora, either, so in the future it is possible to have the same experience under linux mint.

[–] TheModerateTankie@hexbear.net 7 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Andor makes a better prequel to the original trilogy than the movies, but you don't have to be familiar with any of the films or other tv series to enjoy it.

For ublue they want you to use brew for cli apps, so yeah, you would be stuck with a copy of python you may not want. They want all user apps be containerized for security and stability.

Or for yt-dlp you could always try a gui flatpak.

https://flathub.org/apps/io.github.mhogomchungu.media-downloader

https://flathub.org/apps/com.github.unrud.VideoDownloader

So, yeah, if you have limited space it's an issue. I installed a debian distrobox for one app, and it downloaded 1-2 gigs worth of files to set that up. Overkill, sure, but it works.

But distrobox is something I see recommended all the time, and with ublue it's set up and works by default. You don't have to follow a guide which may or may not work, and then have to troubleshoot permissions or realize you're on a newer version of the OS than the guide was written for and something changed and try to manually undo the changes you made and start again, which is something I've experienced on linux multiple times.

The best part about ublue is how little time you have to spend troubleshooting stuff. I thought the "immutability" aspect would be limiting, but so far it only limits the amount of time I've had to spend trying to get shit to work right. If you are comfortable installing cli apps or using the terminal for package management, it's not really much of a difficulty spike to start using brew or distrobox or devcontainers.

The downside is it uses more hd space and containerization sometimes breaks the usefulness of certain apps without having to muck about with permissions in flatseal or something, but to me it seems very much worth it.

 

Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Robert Califf recently took to X to mourn the “catastrophic” decline in U.S. life expectancy.

But his post, which hit on smoking, diet, chronic illness and health care, ignored the obvious: People are dying in abnormally high numbers even now and long since COVID-19 waned. Yet public health agencies and medical societies are silent.

Life insurers have been consistently sounding the alarm over these unexpected or, “excess,” deaths, which claimed 158,000 more Americans in the first nine months of 2023 than in the same period in 2019. That exceeds America’s combined losses from every war since Vietnam. Congress should urgently work with insurance experts to investigate this troubling trend.

With the worst of COVID behind us, annual deaths for all causes should be back to pre-pandemic levels — or even lower because of the loss of so many sick and infirm Americans. Instead, the death toll remains “alarming,” “disturbing,” and deserving of “urgent attention,” according to insurance industry articles.

Actuarial reports — used by insurers to inform decisions — show deaths occurring disproportionately among young working-age people. Nonetheless, America’s chief health manager, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, opted in September to archive its excess deaths webpage with a note stating, “these datasets will no longer be updated.”

Covid is over, so what could it be? three-heads-thinking

So close to getting it...

 

Lookin' good! covid-cool

Emergency waiting room populations have ballooned across the province, and hospitals are way past capacity in Edmonton, according to the head of the Alberta Medical Association.

“It’s as bad as we’ve seen it in 25 years, that’s how bad it is right now,” president Dr. Paul Parks said Monday. “We’ve never had that many in the Edmonton zone. We are literally activating the AHS disaster plan … we’re trying to get patients to next available beds.”

Last Monday, in the Edmonton zone, Parks said there were 202 admitted very-sick patients with no hospital beds to go to, so they were stuck in emergency.

“We’ve never had that many in the Edmonton zone,” Parks said.

Chart taken from: https://nitter.net/MoriartyLab

 

Covid can infect the gut and cause havoc. Covid also seems to persist there in some people, as well. It's an area our immune system has difficulty clearing.

A randomized, placebo-controlled trial of modulating the gut microbiome is successful for symptom alleviation in #LongCovid

This is the first successful randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind trial with an adequate sample size (N=463 participants) for #LongCovid

https://nitter.net/EricTopol

From the study:

We did a randomised controlled trial on the efficacy in alleviating PACS of adult recovered patients using a synbiotic preparation SIM01 (RECOVERY trial). The synbiotic preparation (SIM01) is a micro-encapsulated lyophilised powder containing 20 billion colony-forming units of three bacterial strains, B adolescentis, Bifidobacterium bifidum, and Bifidobacterium longum with three prebiotic compounds including galacto-oligosaccharides, xylo-oligosaccharides, and resistant dextrin, which has been shown to promote the growth of these bacterial strains but also other probiotic strains.

The specific ratio of the three probiotic bacteria was decided based on the relative abundance of these species naturally present in the healthy Chinese population. We previously found that the relative abundance of several species, including B adolescentis and B longum, and the bacterial pathway of short-chain fatty acid production, were all significantly lower in the gut of COVID-19 patients compared with healthy individuals.

Results:

At 6 months, a significantly higher proportion of individuals who received SIM01 had alleviations in fatigue, memory loss, difficulty in concentration, gastrointestinal upset, and general unwellness compared with the placebo group, after adjusting for multiple comparisons. The relative benefit increase after SIM01 were 47% for fatigue, 56% for memory loss, 62% for difficulty in concentration, 30% for gastrointestinal upset, and 31% for general unwellness.

I think you can find the strains used in this study in over-the-counter suppliments and/or in foods like kefir or yogurt, and there are vegan varieties of both. If you have health issues from a covid infection it's worth trying.

If you have a standard US diet, high in processed foods with preservatives, it's probablly a good idea to intentionally eat more probiotics anyway.

70
JN.1 is taking off (hexbear.net)
submitted 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) by TheModerateTankie@hexbear.net to c/covid@hexbear.net
 

to-the-moon

As predicted by covid variant tracker nerds on twitter in recent weeks, JN.1 is exploding. A 40% increase in covid cases since last week. Most sequences coming in to variant trackers are JN.1.

The biobot chart shows the last six months, if you zoom out we are at or approaching covid levels not seen since last winter, so not totally unexpected... but the CDC expects cases to peak in February. However JPWieland predicts it will peak after christmas due to the rapid growth of JN.1.

There are also outlier cities in Europe showing more covid in wastewater than ever measured during the pandemic. Canada isn't doing much better. The UK isn't doing well either.

Along with covid, flu and RSV are also hitting pretty hard at the same time, especially in the South, with a touch of mystery pneumonia in various places around the world as a treat.

Thankfully the latest vaccine helps against this variant. Unfortunatly vaccine uptake rates are abysmal now because capitalism.

I'm mainly still posting about covid out of anxiety and watching the health of friends and family who have been infected and "were fine" slowly deteriorate.

Good luck, everyone.

EDIT:

The CDC director is recommending wearing masks. So things will probably get pretty bad...

https://twitter.com/CDCDirector/status/1732547659292967203

 

Strange how excess deaths are high in all the diseases that covid is known to cause or can make worse. But also the pandemic is over? bean-think

The biggest number of relative excess deaths occurred in young and middle aged adults amid higher than expected instances of cardiovascular, diabetes and acute respiratory diseases.

ukkk

The CMI’s analysis showed that the largest relative excess deaths in 2022 were for young (20-44 years) and middle-aged (45-64 years) adults.

The OHID analysis considered how excess mortality has varied by age band and cause of death. It shows that for ages 50-64 deaths between June 2022 and June 2023 were 33% higher than expected for cardiovascular diseases, 35% higher than expected for diabetes, and 43% higher than expected for acute respiratory diseases.

Stuart McDonald, deputy chairman of the CMI, said: “We continue to see persistent excess mortality, particularly for the working age population, years after the start of the coronavirus pandemic.

Just one more wave, bro, I promise bro.

 

It's appearing in European sites already, and showing a pretty big growth advntage. Previous reports I've seen suggest the next covid wave in the US will peak around February, but the way this new variant is growing it might peak in late december or january.

JN.1 is a variant of BA.2.86 (aka Pirola), which was detected several months ago. It takes BA.2.86, which already demonstrated traits to evade immunity, and adds a couple key mutations: "L455S and P681R - ⬆️⬆️Immune evasive AND ⬆️⬆️fusogenic." - @RaffyFlynnArt (med science, phd researcher) - nitter - twitter

They think it might be an omicron-like event. What happens in sites in Europe where it's showing up will probably be an accurate preview of how it effects everywhere else.

Here's a chart of the growth advantage: nitter - twitter

The new variant is the one on the left.

Here's a prediction from JWeiland, whose predictions have been pretty accurate in the past nitter - twitter They do not think it will be an omicron-like event, but will be significant.

Dr. Eric Topal - twitter, who still takes covid seriously but isn't a covid doomer, warns that it's showing the most growth advantage we've seen in a long time.

The new vaccine shots are supposed to protect against BA.2.86, ~~but we don't know how well it will work against the newest variant JN.1~~, and we don't know how protective a recent infection with a different variant will be. Probably better to be exposed while your blood is flooded with covid antibodies, with as little virus as possible, rather than not.

Edit, the new vaccine works against JN.1

We now report that administration of an updated monovalent mRNA vaccine (XBB.1.5 MV) to uninfected individuals boosted serum virus-neutralization antibodies significantly against not only XBB.1.5 (27.0-fold) and the currently dominant EG.5.1 (27.6-fold) but also key emergent viruses like HV.1, HK.3, JD.1.1, and JN.1 (13.3-to-27.4-fold). In individuals previously infected by an Omicron subvariant, serum neutralizing titers were boosted to highest levels (1,764-to-22,978) against all viral variants tested.

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.11.26.568730v1

And, since the "free market" dictated that the new covid vaccines should be an expensive hassle to get, with side effects often making people feel sick for a day or two, not many people have gotten them. 👍

Taking measures to reduce the amount of virus you are exposed to will certainly help if you end up getting infected. On top of the vaccine, using a HQ Mask in crowds, use anti-viral nasal sprays (including while you get sick, if you do get sick), and air filtration in places you have control over should all help.

All these measures will protect from other less severe illnesses as well, because covid didn't replace any of them, it's just adding to the burden and making them all worse. Abnormally high rates of all manner of severe respiratory infections in various places around the world for two or three years running is probably evidence of this.

As of now, asking people to try to avoid covid is like asking people to avoid cigarette smoke if people started smoking indoors in every public and private building, but that's where we are.

And no, avoiding a cold won't make your immune system weak.. When it comes to covid and other viruses the only way to "excercise" your immune system safely is to get vaccinated.

A covid infection, on the other hand, might actually disregulate your immune response - (twitter).

Here's a twitter thread explaining what it would look like if covid is causing immune disregulation. - (twitter)

Once again I am putting it on the record that I, a nobody with an internet connection and a small amount of free time, thinks that essentially turning the world into a gain-of-function experiment for a highly contagious endothelial disease that harms the immune system was a really bad idea.

On the other hand, the honorable and wise psychopaths who run our governments took a look at all the data and asked hard quesions like: "wtf does all this mean? so it kills old people, who cares? why are we shutting things down for that?" They have well-paid experts advising them and they seem to think it's fine, so who knows? shrug-outta-hecks

 

OTTAWA - Life expectancy for Canadians decreased for the third straight year in 2022, and more people died of COVID-19 than in any other year since the pandemic began, according to a report released Monday.

Statistics Canada's analysis of deaths(opens in a new tab) last year shows the average Canadian's life expectancy dropped to 81.3 years in 2022, a full year lower than the 82.3 years recorded in 2019.

COVID-19 became the third-leading cause of death for Canadians last year, overtaking accidents and unintentional injuries for the first time since the disease emerged in 2020.

“This increase may in part be due to the exposure to new highly transmissible COVID-19 variants and the gradual return to normalcy,” the report said, pointing to reduced restrictions and the elimination of masking requirements.

Cancer and heart disease were the first and second most common causes of mortality, accounting for 41.8 per cent of all deaths in 2022.

Mortality debt from the lockdowns.

 

French+Morrocan electronic music

https://taxikebab.bandcamp.com/

 

Arabic funk from Libya.

 

ukkk

 

The problem is immunity debt to tuberculosis from the lockdowns. Remember to get infected with TB yearly so that your immune system is "topped up" and knows how to fight it! You don't want a weakened immune system from needlessly protecting yourself, or babies, from incredibly dangerous pathogens.

Health officials in Omaha, Nebraska, are wasting no time in testing over 500 infants, toddlers, and children who may have been exposed to an active tuberculosis case at a local daycare. The Douglas County Health Department (DCHD) declared a public health emergency Friday.

In a press release, DCHD said the exposures occurred at a daycare at the Westview YMCA, which provides "drop-in" care, allowing members to drop off their kids as they use the facility. The exposures occurred between May 21, 2023, and October 30, 2023.

amerikkka-clap

In an interview with The Washington Post, Douglas County Health Director Lindsay Huse said officials should start getting testing results from the younger children midweek and should have a better picture of transmission and the full scope of testing needed by sometime next week. Huse estimated that there are about 250 children in the 4-and-under group and 300 in the 5-and-up group. Any children infected will further expand the number of people potentially exposed

Can you guess which incredibly common virus harms the immune cells responsible for fighting off a TB infection?

Hint: only about 5% of children in that age group got the vaccine for it.

 

The study also found that the virus can survive and grow inside the cells that form plaque—the buildup of fat-filled cells that narrow and stiffen the arteries leading to atherosclerosis. If the plaque breaks, it can block blood flow and cause a heart attack or a stroke. The SARS-CoV-2 infection makes the situation worse by inflaming the plaque and increasing the chance that it breaks free.

covid-cool

A recent study of more than 800,000 people led by Fabio Angeli, a cardiologist at University of Insubria in Varese, Italy, has shown that COVID-19 patients develop high blood pressure twice as often as others. More worrying is that the risk of cardiac diseases can also rise for patients who suffered only mild COVID symptoms.

A virus that can cause autoimmune issues and heart disease, and is mutating several times faster than other respiratory viruses, and our plan is to infect everyone as much as possible to "build immunity".

From what I can find, most data about the amount of heart disease and strokes hasn't been updated since before the pandemic. It would be nice if that were available to see how much of an impact covid is having.

This article is paywalled, so the full article is in the spoiler tags

full articleNow we know how COVID attacks your heart Even patients with mild COVID symptoms could face a higher risk of developing heart disease and stroke

By Sanjay Mishra

Nov 07, 2023 Scientists have noticed that COVID-19 can trigger serious cardiovascular problems, especially among older people who have a buildup of fatty material in their blood vessels. But now a new study has revealed why and shown that SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, directly infects the arteries of the heart.

The study also found that the virus can survive and grow inside the cells that form plaque—the buildup of fat-filled cells that narrow and stiffen the arteries leading to atherosclerosis. If the plaque breaks, it can block blood flow and cause a heart attack or a stroke. The SARS-CoV-2 infection makes the situation worse by inflaming the plaque and increasing the chance that it breaks free.

This can explain long-term cardiovascular effects seen in some, if not all, COVID-19 patients.

SARS-CoV-2 virus has already been found to infect many organs outside the respiratory system. But until now it hadn't been shown to attack the arteries.

"No one was really looking if there was a direct effect of the virus on the arterial wall," says Chiara Giannarelli, a cardiologist at NYU Langone Health, in New York, who led the study. Giannarelli noted that her team detected viral RNA—the genetic material in the virus—in the coronary arteries. “You would not expect to see [this] several months after recovering from COVID.”

Mounting evidence now shows that SARS-CoV-2 is not only a respiratory virus, but it can also affect the heart and many other organ systems, says Ziyad Al-Aly, a clinical epidemiologist at Washington University in St. Louis. Al-Aly's research has shown that the risk of developing heart and cardiovascular diseases, including heart failure, stroke, irregular heart rhythms, cardiac arrest, and blood clots increases two to five times within a year of COVID-19, even when the person wasn't hospitalized.

"This important study links, for the first time, directly the SARS-CoV-2 virus with atherosclerotic plaque inflammation," says Charalambos Antoniades, chair of cardiovascular medicine at the University of Oxford, United Kingdom.

Virus triggers the inflammation in plaque

A recent study of more than 800,000 people led by Fabio Angeli, a cardiologist at University of Insubria in Varese, Italy, has shown that COVID-19 patients develop high blood pressure twice as often as others. More worrying is that the risk of cardiac diseases can also rise for patients who suffered only mild COVID symptoms.

"I saw a patient who now has a defibrillator, and she didn't even have a severe [COVID] illness," says Bernard Gersh, a cardiologist at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.

Wondering whether the cardiovascular damage during COVID was due to the virus directly attacking the blood vessels, the NYU team analyzed autopsied tissue from the coronary arteries and plaque of older people who had died from COVID-19. They found the virus was present in the arteries regardless of whether the fatty plaques were big or small.

"The original finding in this study is that the virus was convincingly found in the plaque in the coronary artery," says Juan Carlos Kaski, a cardiovascular specialist at St George's, University of London, who was not involved in the study.

The NYU team found that in the arteries, the virus predominantly colonized the white blood cells called macrophages. Macrophages are immune cells that are mobilized to fight off an infection, but these same cells also absorb excess fats—including cholesterol from blood. When microphages load too much fat, they change into foam cells, which can increase plaque formation.

To confirm that the virus was indeed infecting and growing in the cells of the blood vessels, scientists obtained arterial and plaque cells—including macrophages and foam cells—from healthy volunteers. Then they grew these cells in the lab in petri dishes and infected them with SARS-CoV-2.

Giannarelli found that although virus infected macrophages at a higher rate than other arterial cells, it did not replicate in them to form new infectious particles. But when the macrophages had become loaded with cholesterol and transformed into foam cells, the virus could grow, replicate, and survive longer.

"We found that the virus tended to persist longer in foam cells," says Giannarelli. That suggests that foam cells might act as a reservoir of SARS-CoV-2. Since more fatty buildup would mean a greater number of foam cells, plaque can increase the persistence of the virus or the severity of COVID-19.

Scientists found that when macrophages and foam cells were infected with SARS-CoV-2 they released a surge of small proteins known as cytokines, which signal the immune system to mount a response against a bacterial or viral infection. In arteries, however, cytokines boost inflammation and formation of even more plaque.

"We saw that there was a degree of inflammation [caused] by the virus that could aggravate atherosclerosis and cardiovascular events," says Giannarelli.

These findings also confirm previous reports that measuring inflammation in the blood vessel wall can diagnose the extent of long-term cardiovascular complications after COVID-19, says Antoniades.

"What this study has found is that plaque rupture can be accelerated and magnified by the presence of the virus," says Kaski.

Understanding heart diseases after COVID

While this new research clearly shows that SARS-CoV-2 can infect, grow, and persist in the macrophages of plaques and arterial cells, more studies are needed to fully understand the many ways COVID-19 can alter cardiac health.

"The NYU study identifies one potential mechanism, especially the viral reservoir, to explain the possible effects" says Gersh. "But It's not going to be the only mechanism."

This study only analyzed 27 samples from eight elderly deceased patients, all of whom already had coronary artery disease and were infected with the original strains of virus. So, the results of this study do not necessarily apply to younger people without coronary artery disease; or to new variants of the virus, which cause somewhat milder disease, says Angeli.

"We do not know if this will happen in people who have been vaccinated," says Kaski. "There are lots of unknowns."

It is also not clear whether and to what extent the high inflammatory reaction observed in the arteries of patients within six months after the infection, as shown in the new study, will last long-enough to trigger new plaque formation. "New studies are needed to show the time-course of the resolution of vascular inflammation after the infection," says Antoniades.

COVID patients should watch for any new incidence of shortness of breath with exertion, chest discomfort, usually with exertion, palpitations, loss of consciousness; and talk to their physician about possible heart disease.

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