Lugh

joined 2 years ago
MODERATOR OF
 

Hollywood's love of dystopian sci-fi has a lot to answer for, as it has shaped many people's ideas about the future very negatively. One of the most persistent of those ideas is that robots will only be owned by the 1%, who will use them to subjugate everyone else.

Reality is shaping up to be different. Free, open-source AI is the equal of anything privately controlled. Robotics too looks like it is following a similar trajectory. The Berkeley Humanoid Lite is built with off-the-shelf and 3D-printed components and costs just $5,000.

Contrary to doomerist fantasies, with decentralized renewable energy, and open-source AI & robotics - it seems hard to believe the 1% will own everything in the future.

 

One of the distortions of AI commentary is that so much of its focus is on Venture Capitalism. Because many people are incentivized to talk about where the big money is flowing, they ignore outside their bubble. Meanwhile, often the really significant things happen elsewhere.

With AI that 'really significant' thing - is that free open-source AI is the global future, far more than the VC darlings like OpenAI. Not that the people pouring hundreds of billions of dollars into the likes of OpenAI are likely to admit that.

There are more signs of this as recently as this week. Yet again, free open-source AI (in this the Qwen3 family from Alibaba) is not only equalling the best of the investor-funded AI, they are bettering it in some metrics.

The VC's thinking is that one of their bets will make big & generate trillions in revenue, but it seems hard to believe when all over the world people can pick up what you're trying to sell for free.

 

Waymo's peer-reviewed study in Traffic Injury Prevention, PDF, 58 pages found its self-driving cars safely drove 56.7 million miles across four U.S. cities without a human safety driver. With 80-90% level reduction for different types of accidents.

56.7 million miles is a tiny fraction of the overall US miles driven, only about 0.002%. Current self-driving AI wouldn't be as good for all road types and conditions. But it will get there, the only question is when. When it does that 80-90% reduction in accidents means 34,000 lives saved in the US, and hundreds of thousands globally - every single year.

The day is going to come where the public conversation is going to be about banning human driving, like no-seatbelts and indoor smoking before it. I've a suspicion the same people who said losing a few hundred thousand lives to 'herd immunity' will be telling us that those 34,000 dead a year are a price worth paying, so they don't have to change anything about their lives or routines.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 months ago

Another team has done the same in Denmark. I wonder how soon we will see these at consumer level for residential buildings?

https://www.euronews.com/next/2025/03/26/solar-panel-windows-that-could-turn-whole-buildings-into-power-plants-smash-electricity-re

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

This is better than nothing. Though a lot of the threats that are building, like conflict with Russia, seem like they will need more.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 months ago (1 children)

Yes, their interpretation of Swiss Re is open to debate. That said, I suspect self-driving cars are already safer per kilometer than human driven cars.

Also, they'll only keep getting better, while human abilities plateau.

https://www.euronews.com/next/2024/06/20/self-driving-cars-are-generally-safer-than-human-driven-ones-research-shows

[–] [email protected] 10 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (1 children)

Lariocidin is produced by a type of bacteria called Paenibacillus, which the researchers retrieved from a soil sample collected from a Hamilton backyard.

It's amazing how random this discovery was. Makes you wonder at all the rest that is still undiscovered in nature.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 months ago (3 children)

In fairness to Waymo, Swiss Re (who are unlikely to be easily fooled) also back up these claims.

https://futuretransport-news.com/waymo-and-swiss-re-analyse-safety-benefits-of-autonomous-vehicles/

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

1X is in Norway. Norwegians are notoriously solitary and hate small talk. Of all people it would be interesting to see how they react to domestic humanoid robots. Perhaps they will like them more than most.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

Wrong. The World Bank says 13% of Indians live in extreme poverty & 97% of the population have wired electricity. Also, surely the way to be richer and more developed is investing in high tech growth industries like advanced space tech?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 months ago

It is interesting that they have successfully tested the magnetic micro-algae in tightly confined and viscous environments. Those are the same conditions they would find in living tissue and blood vessels.

Still, this is just a proof-of-concept. I wonder if any useful treatments for illness ever come from it.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 3 months ago

So if all goes to plan there should be three space stations in 2028 - when will there be a fourth? Russia has plans for an Russian Orbital Service Station. While no one doubts Russia has the necessary technical expertise, can it spare diverting the cash from its war in Ukraine?

Presumably that will be a commercial one someday, it doesn't seem like any other countries are in the pipeline for developing one. The ISS is slated to be deorbited around 2030. The US & ESA/Canada might well part ways when the ISS is decommissioned, and it seems unclear what will replace the ISS, and exactly how much longer it will last.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 months ago

In fairness to China, they are now the world leader in battery tech, and delivering on their promises.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 months ago

Yes, there's also the question of how long it lasts; but still, an amazing achievement.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 months ago

This is only in 4 patients so far yet the results look amazing. 20 million people globally are living with some form of spinal cord injury. Hopefully insights gained from this work will quickly mean treatments for what was once seen as incurable.

view more: ‹ prev next ›