LaughingLion

joined 4 years ago
[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

I'm not. Effort reply incoming:

It is way cheaper and faster to build the kinds of missiles Iran is launching than it is to build interceptor missiles. The interceptors need to be fast, much more maneuverable, have complicated target acquisition and tracking capabilities, often need to be able to link back up with their stationary launch systems, and more. Things you either don't need at all or don't need to be nearly as complicated for a regional ballistic missiles.

Let's run some basic numbers. We'll start with the THAAD anti-ICBM launcher Israel uses. It's US made. Each launch system (those boxy trucks with the rockets on the back) costs $1 BILLION dollars. Each missile costs $12.5 MILLION dollars. Some of that is our gross incestuous grifting in American military contracting but a lot is just how complicated and expensive they are to make. Israel has their Sling of David and some other types of Air Defense systems to counter non-ICBM missiles like Iran has traditionally used. These range from $200k per interceptor to $1 million per interceptor. In the beginning of the war when you saw dozens of those going up to intercept all those initial Iranian launches, that was tens to hundreds of millions of dollars being drained in an instant.

Iran's most expensive missile they've launched so far is around $200k. As expensive as the cheapest, least complicated interceptors and one launch of those pulled over a dozen and a half interceptors and still struck it's target. Iran has also launched missiles in such way as to bait out as many interceptor missiles as possible, it seems, deliberately to drain the Israelis dry. Additionally, as videos are released, you must notice that interceptor launches are less frequent and even in some cases completely absent.

It's obvious that they are starting to ration. Iran, on the other hand is not experiencing a shortage of missiles in their possession. What they are experience is an inability to get those missiles to their launch sites from deep storage. Iran, knowing that Israel does have more air superiority than them stores their missiles in deep bunkers and Israel's strategy was to bomb the access to those sites. It did so, but not as good as they wanted or needed. Fascists are arrogant and they underestimate their enemies and the capabilities of their enemies. This is a historical truth.

Iran is likely undergoing massive efforts to dig out access to those missiles. We've seen Chinese cargo planes from mostly Guangzhou on this curious flight path through Western China into Iran where they blip off of radar. Some internet generals are claiming this is weapon shipments. I doubt that. I'd place my money on industrial excavation equipment. This way China can claim they did not supply Iran with any direct military aid. "I'm sure they were using it for relief and industrial purposes." It's the kind of thing they've done in the past.

So while Israeli AD is suffering major attrition Iranian ballistics have an access issue that is actively being solved. Without major action from Israel or the USA, Iran will solve their issues and regain access to tens of thousands of ballistic missiles of all kinds in days. There is nothing Israel can do to effectively resolve their supply and production issues for interceptors. They simply do not exist to be supplied and manufactured at the rate they need them.

Wars on won on logistics, people. Never forget that.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 month ago

Well essentially its about China's control over the minerals markets in key areas which is exactly what this dude reports on. Munitions and military equipment is big business.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 month ago

You have a phone that still receives updates? In this economy?

Mine hasn't gotten updates in 3 years.

[–] [email protected] 58 points 1 month ago (2 children)

I lived in rural Tennessee when I was a child in the 90s. On MLK day the bank, THE BANK, changed their sign to read, "WE DON'T NEED ANOTHER N_R HOLIDAY". They spelled it out fully. Not a digital sign. They did the lettering one by one.

This tweet has the same vibe.

Oh, and if anyone wants to know it was Waynesboro. Fuck that town.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Did they also say that each launch tilts the earth a little more on its axis?

[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 month ago

They need to consult the experts in rocketry: the Iranian Revolutionary Guard.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

Oh shit I'm in Florida am I going to have to real Id myself to comply with local laws?

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 month ago

Who will win? Hypersonic missiles at $200k each or the over 1 dozen THAAD interceptor missiles it takes to not even stop them at 12.5 MILLION each? Especially when you consider the slower missiles are even cheaper and far more numerous.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 1 month ago

"If Iranian people are energised and motivated according to you, show some balls and go back and lead them and remove the regime. Put your money where your arse is, bloody parasitical imperial whore.."

  • Pakistani Defence Minister, Khawaja Asif
[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 month ago

never forget that what the united states did against north korea constitutes a genocide and the usa has never admitted this

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago

A fair and sobering reply. Be safe and be well.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 month ago

yeah you fucked up as you were supposed to maintain confident eye contact throughout this ordeal

rookie mistake

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