HandwovenConsensus

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

Everett is at least a minor toon force user, so normal power scaling doesn't apply. He can beat anyone or be beaten by anyone depending on which is funnier.

Mrs. True can usually overpower him because he's usually being a jerk to her, but when she's in the wrong she's usually cowed by him.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 8 months ago (2 children)

One thing I remember when I saw this discussed before is that it doesn't take into account whether or not those vacant properties are inhabitable.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 8 months ago

Well, I only know how it tends to work in China, where the traditional calendar is used for cultural events such as festivals, while the Gregorian calendar is used for just about everything else, including domestic business. I assumed it's the same in most modern cultures with a different traditional calendar, but maybe I'm wrong.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 8 months ago (2 children)

Is it? I know some cultures have a traditional lunar calendar, but I didn't know there were many that didn't also use the Gregorian calendar for business.

Which cultures have the seven day week without the solar year?

[–] [email protected] 6 points 9 months ago (2 children)

The plummeting should take care of itself from that point. You might need assistance with the rotation though.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago

Not quite the same, since in my scenario the player loses everything after a loss while in the St. Petersburg Paradox it seems they keep their winnings. But it does seem relevant in explaining that expected value isn't everything.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 9 months ago

I'm looking at the game as a whole. The player has a 1 in 8 chance of winning 3 rounds overall.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 9 months ago

But the odds of the player managing to do so are proportionate. In theory, if 8 players each decide to go for three rounds, one of them will win, but the losings from the other 7 will pay for that player's winnings.

You're right that the house is performing a Martingale strategy. That's a good insight. That may actually be the source of the house advantage. The scenario is ideal for a Martingale strategy to work.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago

Well, they have to start over with a $1 bet.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (2 children)

I don't know if that applies to this scenario. In this game, the player is always in the lead until they aren't, but I don't see how that works in their favor.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago

You're saying that the player pays a dollar each time they decide to "double-or-nothing"? I was thinking they'd only be risking the dollar they bet to start the game.

That change in the ruleset would definitely tilt the odds in the house's favor.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 9 months ago (4 children)

Right, and as the chain continues, the probability of the player maintaining their streak becomes infinitesimal. But the potential payout scales at the same rate.

If the player goes for 3 rounds, they only have a 1/8 chance of winning... but they'll get 8 times their initial bet. So it's technically a fair game, right?

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