this post was submitted on 21 Mar 2024
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Futurology

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[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 year ago (19 children)

It amazes me that as famous as the concept of the tech singularity has become, how little its implications enter most people's thoughts. When most people talk about the future, they do it without any regard for its implications. Even more amazingly, when it comes to academics and intellectuals paid to think about the future, almost none of them ever do. I've yet to see an Economist who seems to know about the concept. When Economists make predictions about the effect of technology on our economic future, they are far more likely to reference trends from the early 20th, or even 19th century.

I suspect all the problems and opportunities the tech singularity will create won't be dealt with in advance in a planned orderly fashion. Rather it will be like March 2020 with Covid, and suddenly we'll be scrambling for emergency responses to a brand new reality.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

From the linked paper published in 1993:

Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended.

30 years was last year. So, he died because he was upset that his most famous prediction did not happen :(

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

I'd say so far so good. We do have the technology needed 30 years later.

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