this post was submitted on 07 Mar 2024
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Who said I was downplaying it. AI is going to disrupt things at the same level of the industrial revolution, maybe more. I'm honestly now wondering if I will live to see the technological singularity.
The key point is the hype. LLMs are, at best, a Chinese room. They lack the internal capacity to be aware, and so cannot be self aware.
The change will come when we manage to bolt enough bits together, in the right way. LLMs are a language core. Google has image processing on par with a visual cortex. IBM have Watson and its kin, knowledge processing engines. What we currently lack is a method of tying them together in a coherent way. We also likely need a source for an internal loop. I personally suspect that bit is core to bootstrapping to self awareness, but that's just my opinion.
We went from the first flight, to the moon, in a single lifetime. The AI revolution will be a lot faster. What we see now however are the flapping machines. The real AI will be a lot more impressive.
You might need to work on your reactions. They came across as extremely rude and childish. It's very easy to put emotions into a
The big issue is that there is both massive hype, and massive apathy regarding AI. AI is close, all the parts seem to be in existence now. However LLMs aren't a general AI and are trapped on a bit of a cul-de-sac.
My analogy fits well. It's not an aeroplane yet, it's a flapping machine. However elements of what will come soon are on full display. Everything has its time. Back then it was "aeroplane time". It is now "AI time".