this post was submitted on 18 Jun 2025
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We are a LOT farther away than 5 years. What you see right now is a lot of hype from venture capitalists over chatbots.
I think any real AGI will have to have some kind of reasoning ability, and I don't see any sign of that in current AI.
Certainly, some interesting developments have happened, and we've realized our old models/thinking about progress towards AGI needed improvement.. and that's real. I think there's a serious conversation to be had about what AGI would be, and how we can know we're approaching it, and when it has arrived.
But anybody telling you it is close either has something to sell you, or has themselves bought it.