this post was submitted on 08 Feb 2025
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Let's consider the counterfactual: is it possible that this was a calculated decision about a complex topic and that abdicating led to a more positive outcome than not?
The subtext of this post seems to be: if only harris hadn't ignored the Gaza problem! And I reject that as a premise
By the way, let's consider another counterfactual: is it possible that Harris (the sitting VP) was privy to more information about the conflict than voters were?
If this is the case, they have to publish the polling data that led them to believe it. Otherwise there's no reason to give them the benefit of the doubt.
On what planet do you think that American politicians "have to" do anything? They regularly break the law. It's a bicameral system and until you riot or DDD it won't change.
Also, your statement makes the assumption that the complexity lies solely in polling and voting, but politics is more complex than that. Israel is a nuclear power. For all we (civilians) know, they can be a regular destabilizing threat actor for the West, have damning blackmail that threatens the DNC, or has enough high powered offensive hacking actors that the US sees its alliance as more important than its ethics
By the way, this entire system of incentives illustrates the complexity of politics in a way that ought to dismiss any kind of black-or-white argument about really any political topic, including the (in my limited opinion, valid) condemnation of Trump.