this post was submitted on 04 Sep 2023
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Image is of container ships waiting outside the canal. While there is usually some number of ships waiting for passage, the number has increased significantly lately.


In order to move ships through the Panama Canal, water is needed to fill the locks. The water comes from freshwater lakes, which are replenished by rainfall. This rainfall hasn't been coming, and Lake Gatun, the largest one, is at near record low levels.

Hundreds of ships are now in a maritime traffic jam, unable to cross the canal quickly. Panama is attempting to conserve water and have reduced the number of transits by 20% per day, among other measures. The Canal's adminstrators have warned that these drought conditions will remain for at least 10 months.

It is unlikely that global supply chains will be catastrophically affected, at least this year. Costs may increase for consumers in the coming months, especially for Christmas, but by and large goods will continue to flow, around South America if need be. Nonetheless, projecting trends over the coming years and decades, you can imagine how this is yet another nudge by climate change towards dramatic economic, environmental, and political impacts on the world at large. It also might prompt discussions inside various governments about nearshoring, and the general vulnerability of global supply chains - especially as the United States tries, bafflingly, to go to war with China.


After some discussion in the last megathread about building knowledge of geopolitics, some of us thought it might be an interesting idea to have a Country of the Week - essentially, I/we choose a country and then people can come in here and chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants, related to that country. More detail in this comment.

Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

Okay, look, I got a little carried away. Monday's update usually covers the preceding Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, but I went ahead and did all of last week. If people like a more weekly structure then I might try that instead, if not, then I'll go back to the Mon-Wed-Fri schedule.

Links and Stuff


The bulletins site is down.

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can.


Resources For Understanding The War


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


(page 4) 50 comments
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[–] [email protected] 39 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (23 children)

Question for newsheads who know a bit more about the military side of things. What's the rationale from a NAFO/Ukrainian perspective for the western countries providing only limited amounts of arms IV dripped to Ukraine? Obviously outside this perspective it's rather obvious, that Ukraine is the territory of a proxy war between NATO and Russia. And I imagine that there are voices on the pro-Ukraine side who are angry at the NATO (mostly US) strategy of giving Ukrainians just enough to keep running into mines without surrendering.

To me it seems like there should be some kind of internal logic that keeps the US politicians (nevermind military leaders) from going full hog into supplying more of what they have. Is it simply that they don't think they can get the political support from Congress? When has that stopped them before? Is it that the military industrial complex thinks it can make more profit if a war is dragged out? Overall what drives this particular method?

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[–] [email protected] 39 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (2 children)

🦀🦀🦀 Apartheid collaborator Mangosuthu Buthelezi dead🦀🦀🦀

Today he’s known as a unifier by some, but those familiar with his history remember him as a war-monger whose hands, until the very end, dripped with the blood of the thousands killed across the country’s townships in the late 80s and the early 90s.

He had also accepted the oppressive regime’s homelands or bantustan arrangement as he argued that his participation in the Apartheid system was the ideal way to beat it.

This earned him titles such as sellout and an anti-revolutionary.

By the early 80’s, tensions, including with ANC and aligned UDF had spilled over into full on violence.

And when the dust had settled – with South Africa on the brink of democracy – it is believed that well over 20,000 people had died

His Inkatha trainees were found by the Truth and Reconciliation Commission to have been responsible for the murders of ANC and United Democratic Front (UDF) activists. The trainees were men trained by the South African Defence Force.

This isn't even talking about Operation Marion , in which there was an alliance formed between the IFP, the NP and even some AWB elements, the Zulu - Boer alliance for their own security. IFP militants were flown in C-130 troop transports by the apartheid government from their training base in Caprivi, to a military base in Durban, to do classic colonial "divide and conquer" operations.

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[–] [email protected] 38 points 2 years ago (2 children)

The CIA has posted cringe by uploading a Russian-language video to Twitter in which people are being asked to hand over confidential information to the spy agency. Surely, this will convince people to betray their country and risk severe punishment.

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[–] [email protected] 38 points 2 years ago (1 children)

https://nitter.net/JosephPolitano/status/1699528251490619566?s=20

Demand for weight-loss drugs Ozempic/Wegovy is so large that the government of Denmark (where drugmaker Novo Nordisk is from) now has to publish GDP data excluding it Since the first half of 2022 (left), headline GDP growth has been 1.7% (blue), but ex-Pharma it's -0.3% (green)

Reminded me of folks in the news megathread talking about Denmark juicing their GDP a while ago. Pretty funny that it's inflated the figures by so much now that separate GDP figures have to be published to show that the economy sans-Novo Nordisk is still contracting.

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[–] [email protected] 38 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Uranium becomes the topic of the day also in Eurasia. The aid package promised by Washington to Kiev includes depleted uranium munition. Russia issues a warning and considers this move a criminal act.

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[–] [email protected] 38 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Chinese Vice Premier to lead delegation to N.Korea

China announced on Thursday that it will send a high-profile delegation led by Chinese Vice Premier Liu Guozhong to the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK), the second time in less than two months, a rare move which experts believe demonstrates the traditional friendship and support for each other that will inject stability into regional security, at a time when tensions have risen to an unprecedented level.

Against the backdrop of the US-led West's increasingly tough sanctions and pressure on Pyongyang, China's support, which will not be confined to moral support, will help North Korea break its isolation in the international community, observers believe.

At the invitation of the Workers' Party of Korea and the government of the DPRK, Liu, also a member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee, will lead a party and government delegation to DPRK to attend the commemorative events for its 75th founding anniversary and visit the country, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning announced on Thursday.

Oh, to be a fly on the wall. I wonder what plans they have that require all these delegations.

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[–] [email protected] 38 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Why are China’s workers studying ‘Xi Jinping Thought’?

spoiler

China’s workers have long been known for putting in long days at the office, but they now face a new set of responsibilities: studying the writings of President Xi Jinping.

Implying that this is another straw on the camel's back, and that Xi Jinping thought is being forced down the throat of (office) workers.

CCP

telling on themselves

Under Xi, the world’s second-largest economy has taken a turn towards greater ideological purity based on the party’s Marxist-Leninist roots

nice

and his own cult of personality.

Has it though? Seems like another case of assuming that Xi Jinping personally and arbitrarily decides what the party line is without any input from others.

While communist ideology may not immediately seem relevant to banking or international finance and trade, China’s banks and state-owned enterprises are closely entwined with Beijing and subject to heavy oversight and influence.

Regulating finance is relevant to communism?? Impossible!

Carsten Holz

Looked him up. Princeton alumn now at a Hong Kong university. His schtick seems to be openly criticizing China for how you can't openly criticize China. Have China Scholars All Been Bought? (2007)

How do bankers and executives feel about these study sessions?

Most evidence about how employees feel about studying Xi’s ideology is anecdotal – but there are some indications that the trend has not always been welcome.

"We don't really have any damning evidence here, but we found some guy who doesn't like it."

While the study sessions may be time-consuming, more concerning for bankers and executives is Xi’s parallel campaign for “common prosperity”, the Hong Kong-based analyst said. The tenet of Xi Jinping Thought, which calls for greater economic and social equality, can in practice mean steep cuts to the salaries of high-performing employees, sapping morale, he said.

porky-scared

“The preoccupation with the leader’s dogma directly and negatively affects the open exchange of ideas and the free-spirited innovation that drives economic growth,”

PIGPOOPBALLS

I'll just quote a bit of Roland Boer's Socialism with Chinese Characteristics:

...one of the roadblocks for those unfortunate enough to have been raised in a Western liberal context is the absence of any serious attention to the thought of political leaders. Even if such a leader has written and published anything of substance—a rare occurrence indeed in the West—such material is of interest to only a few for the sake of what passes as ‘political analysis’. Indeed, the task of such analysis is to ‘cut through’ or ‘look behind’ the rhetoric that has been carefully crafted by professional ‘spin doctors’. It is assumed that such an approach is ‘critical’ and ‘objective’, but in doing so of course it becomes an ideological prop of the Western liberal system itself. In light of such assumptions, it should be no surprise that there are in Western contexts very few serious engagements with any communist leader’s thought when a Communist Party has been in power.

Those familiar with the communist tradition have a somewhat different perspec- tive. In this case, the thought of the Party’s general secretary is crucial, especially works that mark a new step in the development of Marxist theory in light of changing circumstances. Of course, to focus on an individual leader may seem a little strange for a tradition that emphasises the collective as the foundation for a fully-rounded individual, let alone the collective role of urban and rural workers. The answer is obvious: the general secretary’s work is never an isolated occurrence, but arises from a collective leadership, and especially from periods of intense study and debate. Think of Mao Zedong’s study circle in Yan’an in the 1930s, from which the landmark studies on contradiction and practice arose, or the late-night discussions of Deng Xiaoping’s comrades as they sought to plot a path for the Reform and Opening-Up. These actions did not take place in a vacuum, for they were part and parcel of intense debates with the Communist Party itself.

tl;dr: Al Jazeera says China Bad. The poor business executives are forced to study Xi's personal musings about the country, wasting precious time when they could have been doing important business stuff.

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[–] [email protected] 37 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Sanna Marin announces plan to resign as MP and join Tony Blair institute

wow epic antiwar girlboss

spoilerTony Blair Institute continued taking money from Saudi Arabia after Khashoggi murder

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[–] [email protected] 37 points 2 years ago

Breaking news: I am cooking tonight! chefs-kiss

[–] [email protected] 37 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (9 children)

[Germany - Bavaria Elections]

Bavaria Election Poll

38% Christian Social Union (+1%) (Right Wing - Nationalistic party of the local bourgeoise with interventionist policies designed to keep local business in advantageous positions over competition from other parts of the country; pragmatic af and traditionalist)

16% Free Voters Association (+4%) (Right Wing - Follows basically the same policies as the CSU. The party leader and deputy governor of the state was recently impacted by a scandal where it was revealed he quite possibly had a past as a violent fascist during his school years. He deflected it by blaming his brother instead and the CSU has defended him against the evil left)

14% Alternative for Germany (unchanged) (Far-Right - Your constantly radicalizing post-2015 European right wing party, which gained a lot of support this year over denouncing the anti-Russian foreign policy of Germany. They think Putin is based after all.)

13% Green Party/Alliance '90 (-1%) (Centre-Right - Neoliberal war hawks and very enthusiastic followers of the international rules-based order. They lost a lot of support in recent months over "fuck poor people" environmentalism, increasing poverty and culture wars from the AfD and CDU/CSU)

8% Social Democratic Party (unchanged) (Centre-Right - Your usual case of washed up socdems, now neoliberals, flopping on every issue known to man. They haven't been hit as hard by the decline of the popularity of the government as the Greens or FDP, but the name will not excite anyone but the weirdest of voters)

4% Free Democratic Party (unchanged) (Right Wing - Hardcore economic neoliberals, running on a campaign of "Austerity = good, car = freedom, I fucking love technology". They have a sizeable base of rich people and annoying libertarians but as a silver lining they've been eating shit when it comes to convincing anyone else to support them)

1% The Left (-2%) (Left Wing - What happens if you combine constant infighting to either pull the party into being patsocs or regular libs between a large minority of members and the federal leadership, liberal Putler-mania denouncing the peace movement, a very small membership basis that's almost non-existent outside of cities beyond weirdos like me, a campaign basing on "we are the only ones that don't approve of the CSU" and a backlash against a supposedly left wing government? Nothing good.)

1% Bavaria Party (unchanged) (Far-Right - Why yes, Bavarian indipendentists. They only have any relevance in the weirdest of mountain villages in the corelands of Bavaria and have been politically irrelevant since the early 1960s)

5% Others [Ecological Democratic Party - Environmentalists who don't like gays, used to be neo-nazi until the 80s | the Base - "vaccines scary", the party. | Animal Protection Party - Single issue party | Party for Change, Vegetarians and Vegans - same as before | Party of Humanists - the reddit party | Volt - the reddit party 2]

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[–] [email protected] 37 points 2 years ago (6 children)

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/09/08/ukraines-nearly-50-year-old-gepards-are-still-the-best-air-defense-guns-in-the-world/?sh=2423831c6f44

More Axehole articles.

Ukraine’s Nearly 50-Year-Old Gepards Are Still The Best Air-Defense Guns In The World. by David Axe

From the same dude that says Russia's on the ropes when they use anything older than today is back with another hit saying the Kraut AA tank is the best in the world. The same AA tank we've heard problems about since the first time we heard about them in the war with how Gepard tanks from one country could only use ammo keyed to that country's arsenal and would refuse to function if loaded with another country's ammo regardless of the fact that they're all the same fucking tank with same fucking ammo expressly for the purpose of making sure if the AA tank falls into the wrong hands it will have limited usability (lol).

There's also some whining about Belgium not sending all their museum pieces to Ukraine just because they've not been maintained for decades, and Switzerland for maintaining their neutrality vow by not sending ukraine shit either.

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[–] [email protected] 36 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Excellent mega title this week chefs-kiss

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[–] [email protected] 36 points 2 years ago (8 children)

Alright, I'm personally thinking that we should do a different continent for each subsequent COTW, so like Africa - South America - Europe - Asia - North America (including Caribbean and Central America) - Middle East/Western Asia. Not necessarily in that order, it could vary depending on relevant news events.

So I think that Chile would be a nice one to do next week, on the 50th anniversary of Allende's death. But we could also do something a little closer to home for several of us like Finland. Or follow along on Blowback and do Afghanistan.

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[–] [email protected] 36 points 2 years ago (7 children)

[GERMANY] Mayor elections in Nordhausen, Thüringen

42,1% for the Prophet, running for the fascist AfD

23,7% for the Incumbent Mayor, Mr. Bookman

11,2% for Trump, running endorsed by the conservative party

3% for Libertarian Marx

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[–] [email protected] 36 points 2 years ago (7 children)

We should invite Michael Hudson to give an AMA here if only for him to yell at us “You’re not Marxists! You’re Stalinists!” lol.

(Context: he likes to rail against Stalinists out of nowhere sometimes)

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[–] [email protected] 36 points 2 years ago (10 children)

Top headline on the NYT site right now is just "Ukrainians embrace war crimes, but are they helping?"

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[–] [email protected] 36 points 2 years ago (5 children)

Nazi's on a bridge in Florida. I could not find any coverage of this in US media. Sad that I have to find out about it from Russian social media.

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