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Labor concedes Tasmanian election, leaving Liberals to negotiate with new crossbench (www.abc.net.au)

submitted 1 year ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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In short: Tasmanian Labor leader Rebecca White says it will be up to the Liberal Party to try to negotiate with the new crossbench and form a government.

The Liberals need 18 votes in the lower house to govern but will finish with between 14 and 16 seats — meaning they will likely need the help of the Jacqui Lambie Network and the independents.

What's next? Rebecca White's leadership position will automatically become vacant but she has not indicated if she will put her hand up for it again.

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago (8 children)

Yeah if you're going only on the seats that have been officially called so far on the ABC, it looks premature. Labor + Greens have more seats than LNP. But dig in more and the likely winners of spots not yet called, and it paints a very different picture. Heaps more LNP is likely, and it's just a question of which ones get in.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago (7 children)

Following up (more generally than at your reply specifically), our lord and saviour Antony Green has the following counts/predictions:

Liberal: 13, possibly up to 15 (with 14-15 sounding more likely than 13 based on other coverage)
Labor: 10, with an unlikely 11
Greens: 4, with a good chance of 5
JLN: 2, with an unlikely 3
IND: 2

Additionally, Labor apparently said (quoting ABC news coverage) they were unwilling to form government with Greens, so rip.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Who are the independents? Are we talking teals or cookers?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

Krisite Johnson, closer to the Greens, and David O'Byrne, ex-Labor leader who got done in by sexual harassment allegations.

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