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Russia is returning to its Cold War posture with plans to increase troops along its NATO borders, Lithuania's PM warns
(www.businessinsider.com)
this post was submitted on 23 Mar 2024
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Here's my prediction for historical purposes:
That's it. That's my prediction based on having lived through the cold war and being interested in history.
I really fucking hope I'm wrong.
Here's where you're wrong: Finland. It provides easy striking distance for St Petersburg and Murmansk (which is an important naval base). Hit St Petersburg, and the Baltic states are at far less risk of being cut off.
Strike Sevestapol, and Russia is cut off from the Atlantic.
Balarus isn't guaranteed to stay a Russian ally, either. That's Lukashenko's thing, but his grip on power could still slip away.
I hear you but Russia has made it clear that any existential threat will result in nuclear war so that rules out going onto their internationally recognised land without risking that.
Taking back invaded land is a different matter as we've seen.
Edit: And I've limited understanding on this but I thought Belarus had already agreed to become part of the Russian federation. I hold out hope they'll move back to democracy and agree that would definitely change things strategically.
putin said that, kill him and his generals aren't going to stay behind to a dead guy