this post was submitted on 25 Jun 2025
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electoralism
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This is the Democratic primary race. It’s ranked-choice, final results for this vote will be out on July 1st, but Mamdani is expected to gain over Cuomo from 2nd-ranks if anything, and Cuomo already conceded the primary to him. This is considered the Big Thing because most NYC residents are dems and so the dem primary is basically the mayoral race. That might be different this year as the (widely disliked) incumbent and Cuomo will be running as independents in the general mayoral election in November, and we might see a centrist bloc coalesce, but I wouldn’t underestimate the power of the (D) appearing by Mamdani’s name.
Edit: the general in November is not ranked-choice, so the centrist/conservative vote will be split 3-way. I’d be very surprised if Mamdani lost
Is it likely for the Republican candidate to just drop out?
I don’t think the repubs would want to make a show out of helping Cuomo/Adams to defeat Mamdani. Especially when they’re trying to attack every democrat by tying them to him. As far as they’re concerned, every democrat is a socialist, and Mamdani only proves it. I’m sure the nyc bourgeoisie would prefer a united front against him but I think the democrat and republican parties both know it’d make them look bad.
I’m excitedly awaiting nyt or the atlantic or whoever to publish an article about how, if only there had been a united moderate front, Mamdani could have been stopped. Just imagine the title: “How Ranked Choice Voting propelled Mamdani’s success— and how it could have foiled his campaign.”